Core term · Francis Galton

Regression to the Mean

After an extreme result, the next one tends to land closer to average — with no cause required.

Areas of life
Judgementperformancestatistics

Why it matters

It is the single most common source of false conclusions about what worked.

How to handle it

Before crediting an intervention, ask what would have happened anyway.

Who shaped this idea

The thinker behind it

From concept to practice

Turn Regression to the Mean into a question you can answer.

Psipas asks you one small, honest question at a time — and builds the picture from your answers.